Redkacheek's Playbook: 2025 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

Written by Redkacheek Published on April 29, 2025
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Alright we are back for a semi-normal week. Ugly though. Huge Scottie favorite at 3/1. next best odds around 18/1. Woof. And as I discussed on this week's podcast the combination of the course and weak fields over the years poses a tough week for deep-diving research. Keep in mind, SG stats are relative to the field, so as you will see when combing through our data, we are basically comparing bad golfers to worse golfers. It's a strange dynamic and that leads to the volatility we have seen in the Top 10 here over the years. But does offer some upside as it seems the PGA DFS hive mind is focusing on a handful of plays, and with everything at FGB, it seems we will definitely have leverage...just hope it ends up positive.

But I don't want to dissuade you, we do get a cut and have plenty of unique data to parse, but just keep in mind...there will be guys in the Top 10 likely losing in all categories. With that being said, let's discuss the week ahead...


Course Preview

 

First, let's just get an overview of the course.

Not a big fan of birdie fests so no surprise that TPC Craig Ranch week is not the most exciting week for research. Lot of volatility, coupled with a weak field, it's tough to gauge exactly what breeds success here. A few things that stood out as I dove deeper after the Podcast on Sunday...Driving Distance might be beneficial. Looking at the grades from Winner to Top 25, you can see there is something to be gained with Distance, although SG OTT is mitigated:

Here are a few intriguing names that check the boxes in DrivingIQ for rDD, rDA and rGIR.
Lot of popular plays, or at least ones we have discussed all week.

Now, we ran through the ComboIQ this week so would recommend you check out that blog post and accompanying video/workbook as well: https://www.fantasygolfbag.com/blog/2025-the-cj-cup-iq-tools-workshop-50eb41d3

A few of the popular names that came from that research were:

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