Hey everyone, welcome back. This week is Valspar Championship and we definitely have some weather to contend with. 

Let me first get a few key reminders out of the way:

We have ramped up the tools over the last few weeks, we now have two IQ tools (Driving, Approach), the Spectrum EDGE, StatModel PRO which includes a bunch of filters including Wind (might be handy this week), Turf Splits, Time Machine, among others in the Free Tools. I recorded a bunch of new videos last week and this week so check them out and let me know if you have any questions or requests...either for new tools, changes or enhancements.

The next thing...about our Projections this week. As of this article, we are accounting for 1.25 shot difference between the AM/PM wave and the PM/AM wave. So our projections will reflect this. So if you are using our projections, please consider that they will be favoring the AM/PM wave significantly. I would rather error on that side, for myself and our subs, it is much easier to back out of the projections than trying to set a bunch of rules or trim the pool excessively. Personally, I think this is the proper way to do it, and then you simply have to consider ownership. 

With all that out of the way, let me give you all one more big THANK YOU! Really appreciate all of the FGB Members who are here and I am really excited for us all to have a great year betting golf and playing PGA DFS. We have a had a great run the last few weeks with Henley and Highsmith, and Harris English about a month ago. So let's keep it going this week as we get tuned up for Augusta in a couple short weeks.

If you'd like to support further, you can check out the FGB Avatars here: DFS Avatars

Alright, let's discuss the week ahead.

---

Course Preview

First, let's just get an overview of the course.

A lot of this stuff might get partially thrown out in preference for this AM/PM wave stack...can't wait for that to flip...but let's discusss.

The course demands accuracy off the tee. There is no advantage for length, the only real hole where it comes into play is Hole 14, but aside from that even the Par 5s are not "Bombs away!"

Approaches are really concentraded from 150-200 and would encourage you to stat focused on that range in the ApproachIQ Tool.

This course really rewards accuracy, both with the Driver or 3w/irons OTT, and also with the long irons. Lead-in form had a really interesting trend, where every winner was gaining on Approach, but ARG and OTT were often times negative in their prior rounds to this event.

For this reason I think you can keep it simple, good driving in the key bucket of 270-290 and strong rGIR% or SGAPP from 150-200 from the fairway. I wish I had more for you, but with the incoming weather and the course set up, it doesn't really feel like a week to be creative in your research. Look for those key stats, good overall recent form, maybe a good finish here over the years and then just keep eyeing the weather.

---

Tee Times

Here are the AM/PM tee times:

 

And here are the PM/AM tee times:

---

Weather Outlook

Thursday Weather

 

Friday Weather

Don't have the chart yet, but it is a mirror of Thursday where the strongest winds appear to be in the AM and dying down slightly in the afternoon.

 

Windfinder

---

CORE PLAYS

Alright, let’s get into my Core Plays.